Why Long-Term Bitcoin Bulls Predict a $200K Surge in 2025

Crypto Adoption Accelerates: Governments and Institutions Embrace Bitcoin
ETFs Reshape the Bitcoin Market: What’s Next for Global Adoption?
Bitcoin Reserves: The Next Big Play for Governments and States
Crypto Regulations Go Global: What It Means for Bitcoin’s Future

Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Traders Nervous, Long-Term Investors Bullish
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently hovering between $90,000 and $95,000, down more than 10% from its all-time high reached just a month ago. This has created a divide in sentiment: short-term traders are increasingly cautious, while long-term investors remain optimistic about the cryptocurrency’s future.

David Siemer, CEO of Wave Digital Assets—a firm managing crypto investments for high-net-worth individuals and funds—sees this divergence as unprecedented. “In 14 years of owning Bitcoin, I’ve never seen a dichotomy like this,” Siemer shared in a recent interview with CoinDesk.

According to Siemer, while traders are hedging their bets, long-term investors believe Bitcoin’s bull run is far from over. “There’s a really good chance we’ll go to $200,000 per Bitcoin this year,” he predicted, adding, “Do I think we’ll see $1 million per coin in my lifetime? Absolutely. It’s just not happening in the next year.”

Global Momentum for Crypto Adoption
Siemer highlights that several jurisdictions—including the U.S., Singapore, Japan, South Korea, and various European nations—are poised to take significant steps toward crypto-friendly regulation this year. Wave Digital Assets, which runs crypto education programs for entities like the IRS and U.S. Marshals Service, sees government interest in crypto as a major growth driver.

Countries with high trust in government, such as Japan and Singapore, could experience a rapid increase in crypto adoption. Siemer notes, “If their government says it’s okay, it’s really okay. It’s different from the U.S., where people tend to be more skeptical.”

Spot Bitcoin ETFs and Market Impact
The success of U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), such as BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), has intensified global competition among financial institutions. Traditional crypto investment products, particularly in Europe, have struggled to compete with U.S. ETFs, which offer lower fees and higher liquidity.

Siemer suggests that regulatory bodies, like the European Union, might respond with more innovative frameworks, potentially revising existing regulations like the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) to be more favorable to crypto markets.

Bitcoin Reserves: A New Strategic Focus
The idea of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve is gaining traction globally. Several countries, Siemer predicts, will establish Bitcoin reserves, even if the U.S. hesitates. Notably, Wave is in discussions with states like Texas, Ohio, and Wyoming, which are exploring this possibility.

Interestingly, the U.S. federal government already holds nearly $19 billion worth of Bitcoin, largely from seized assets. “That’s a decent start on a Bitcoin reserve,” Siemer said. “All they have to do is not sell it. It’s a lot more palatable to taxpayers than buying $10 billion worth of Bitcoin outright.”

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