From Trump Dump to Bull Run: Hayes Revises Crypto Market Outlook

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Arthur Hayes Adjusts Market Outlook:

Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX and now CIO of Maelstrom, predicts a cryptocurrency market peak in March 2025.

Initially, Hayes forecasted a “Trump dump” due to unrealistic pro-crypto promises from Donald Trump’s administration. He now believes this correction occurred in late 2024.

Bullish Momentum in Early 2025:

Bitcoin’s price rose 5.5% in early January, with its market cap surpassing $2 trillion (+10%).

Hayes credits the bullish momentum to anticipated liquidity injections of up to $612 billion from U.S. Treasury spending and a decline in the Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility.

Investment Strategy:

Hayes advises a “degen” approach, focusing on decentralized science (DeSci) tokens like BIO, VITA, and NEURON.

Maelstrom has already invested in these assets.

Caution for Late 2025:

Hayes warns about potential risks later in the year, including U.S. debt ceiling talks, tax deadlines, and monetary policy shifts from Japan or China.

Future Projections:

Bitcoin could reach between $150,000 and $250,000 by late 2025. Hayes urges investors to remain bold yet vigilant as the market evolves.

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